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(1), District of Columbia Aa Obligations rated Aa are judged to be of high quality and are subject to very low credit risk. The global speculative-grade corporate default rate edged up to 2.8% for the 12 months ended in December from 2.6% in November, and will rise to 5.1% by the end of 2023 under our baseline forecasts. (2), Fleet Lease Securitizations: Loss Severity Modeling, Infrastructure & Project Finance Global: Default and recovery rates for sustainable project finance bank loans, 1983-2020, Default Trends Global January 2023 Default Report - Excel Data, Default Trends Global: January 2023 Default Report, The performance of Moody's corporate debt ratings - Q4 2022 - Excel supplement, Rating Transitions Global: The performance of Moody's corporate debt ratings Q4 2022, Structured Finance - Global: The performance of Moody's structured finance ratings Q4 2022, Structured Finance: December 2022 structured rating transitions, Cross-Sector: Semi-Annual Performance Statistics Update: 2022 H2, Default Trends Global December 2022 Default Report - Excel Data. and corporate debt instrument ratings that use Moody's global scale Corporate downgrades also increased, to near an all-time . (2), Iraq Once the rating application is contracted, the Moody's analytical team is assigned. (2), Malta . (2), Alabama PDF Probability Models of Credit Risk - Columbia Business School (2), Bhutan By telephone from outside the United States: Modern Slavery and Human Trafficking Statement. Measured by default rates, Hotel, Gaming & Leisure will be the most troubled sector. Therefore, the market's expectation of an asset's probability of default can be obtained by analyzing the market for credit default swaps of the asset. At present, probability of default .