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"The more money that's being spent, the more people don't forget there's an election going on," Cahaly said. Well, if I had to rank them, Id say Nevadas most likely to be Republican win. Biden Chooses Crime Messaging Over D.C. Home Rule. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. This isnt apples to apples. Trafalgar Pollster Robert Cahaly Explains The Methodology Behind Their He has picked up media consideration in 2016 for foreseeing effectively that President Donald Trump would win in the conditions of Michigan and Pennsylvania. (RACE TIGHTENS, etc.) Cahaly accurately predicted a close gubernatorial race in the deep blue stronghold of New York, a race Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul won by 6 points, and he was shockingly close to the final results in statewide races in Wisconsin, Missouri, North Carolina and Georgia. Pollster Who Got It Right in 2016 Does It Again | RealClearPolitics And I'm like, 'You thought it was that high?'". Those surveys were off in New Hampshire. Born in rural Georgia, Robert Cahaly was raised in Pendleton, South Carolina, and began his work in politics at age 10 campaigning door-to-door for a local county race. For the first time two of the nation's most accurate national polling firms in 2020 have teamed up, this time to survey the state in which both are headquartered: Georgia. She did not. In a Twitter thread, Trafalgar Group chief pollster Robert C. Cahaly said that President Joe Biden 's recent attacks on so-called "MAGA Republicans" will make polling supporters of former President Donald Trump even harder to poll than in previous years. IA, Trafalgar new poll: Herschel Walker leads Warnock Robert Cahaly On Republican Surge In The Polls Ahead Of The Midterms